{"id":51492,"date":"2025-12-01T08:08:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T08:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/2025\/12\/01\/merkez-bankalari-yili-yogun-bir-takvimle-kapatmaya-hazirlaniyor\/"},"modified":"2025-12-01T08:08:00","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T08:08:00","slug":"merkez-bankalari-yili-yogun-bir-takvimle-kapatmaya-hazirlaniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=51492","title":{"rendered":"Merkez bankalar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131 yo\u011fun bir takvimle kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n


\n\tABD<\/a> taraf\u0131nda enflasyon<\/a> ve istihdam alan\u0131ndaki risklerin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131 ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) gelecek d\u00f6nemde ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken, k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131 da Fed’in ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131 ve verece\u011fi mesajlar\u0131 yak\u0131ndan takip ediyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tY\u0131l boyunca k\u00fcresel ekonomide ABD’nin tarife ad\u0131mlar\u0131 ticari gerilimleri art\u0131r\u0131rken, makroekonomik belirsizli\u011fi y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti. Merkez bankalar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son ay\u0131nda azalan tarife endi\u015feleri ve enflasyonla m\u00fccadele g\u00fcndemiyle yo\u011fun ge\u00e7en bir y\u0131l\u0131 tamamlamaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n


\n\tAral\u0131k ay\u0131nda merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131 yo\u011fun bir takvim bekliyor. Aral\u0131kta Fed, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131<\/a> (ECB), \u0130ngiltere<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131<\/a> (BoE), Japonya<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ), Avustralya<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) ve T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131 takip edilecek.<\/p>\n


\n\tFed’in faiz<\/a> indirmesi bekleniyor<\/h2>\n


\n\tABD’de 43 g\u00fcn s\u00fcren \u00fclke tarihinin en uzun h\u00fck\u00fcmet kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan ve \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 gelen enflasyon ile istihdam verileri Fed’in faiz indirim beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tPara piyasalar\u0131ndaki fiyatlamalarda Fed’in bu ay 25 baz puan faiz indirimine gitmesi ihtimali y\u00fczde 86 seviyesinde bulunurken, Fed<\/a> yetkilileri bankan\u0131n izlemesi gereken yol haritas\u0131 konusunda ayr\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tFed Y\u00f6netim Kurulu \u00dcyesi Michael Barr ve Chicago Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Austan Goolsbee \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki Fed yetkililerinin bir k\u0131sm\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele s\u00fcrecinin sekteye u\u011framamas\u0131 i\u00e7in Fed’in temkinli olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini ve daha fazla veri g\u00f6rmek istediklerini belirtirken, Fed Y\u00f6netim Kurulu \u00dcyesi Stephen Miran ve New York Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 John Williams’\u0131n da aralar\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu yetkililerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131 da faiz indirimleri i\u00e7in uygun ortam\u0131n olu\u015ftu\u011fu ve indirimi desteklediklerini ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tAnalistler, Fed yetkililerindeki keskin ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n belirsizlikleri de beraberinde getirdi\u011fini ifade ederek, piyasa beklentilerinde h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fimlerin olabilece\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n


\n\tFed ekim ay\u0131nda beklentiler do\u011frultusunda politika faizini 25 baz puan indirerek y\u00fczde 3,75-4,0 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7ekmi\u015f ve y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci faiz indirimine gitmi\u015fti. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell toplant\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan d\u00fczenledi\u011fi bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda, komitede g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde farkl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerin oldu\u011funu belirterek, “Aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizinde daha fazla indirim yap\u0131lmas\u0131 kesin de\u011fil, bundan olduk\u00e7a uzak.” ifadesini kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\t\u00d6te yandan, ABD’nin kom\u015fusu ve \u00f6nemli ticaret<\/a> partnerlerinden olan Kanada’da merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde Fed’in karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 faiz karar\u0131 da bu ay takip edilecek merkez bankas\u0131 kararlar\u0131 i\u00e7inde yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n


\n\tAvrupa’da g\u00f6zler ECB’nin faiz karar\u0131nda<\/h2>\n


\n\tAvrupa’da ECB’nin 18 Aral\u0131k’taki para politikas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 3 temel politika faizini de\u011fi\u015ftirmemesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tAvro B\u00f6lgesi’nde ekim ay\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon y\u00fczde 2,1 ile beklentilere paralel gelirken, bir \u00f6nceki veri d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re azal\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etmi\u015fti. B\u00f6lgede enflasyon ECB’nin orta vadeli hedefine yak\u0131n seyrederken, bankan\u0131n bu y\u0131lk\u0131 gev\u015feme s\u00fcrecini tamamlad\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentilerle para piyasalar\u0131ndaki fiyatlamalarda ECB’nin 3 temel politika faizini sabit tutmas\u0131na kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n


\n\tECB<\/a> faiz indirimlerine temmuz ay\u0131nda ara vermeden \u00f6nce bu sene 3 temel politika faizinde 100 baz puan indirime gitmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n


\n\t\u00d6te yandan, b\u00f6lgede \u0130svi\u00e7re<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) Macaristan<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131 (MNB), \u0130sve\u00e7<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Riksbank), Norve\u00e7<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131 ve Polonya<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (NBP) kararlar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Rusya<\/a> Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (CBR) para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131 da takip edilecek.<\/p>\n


\n\tBoE’nin 25 baz puan faiz indirimine gitmesi bekleniyor<\/h2>\n


\n\t\u0130ngiltere’de BoE’nin \u00fclkede enflasyona y\u00f6nelik risklerin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n ekim ay\u0131nda enflasyonun y\u00fczde 3,6 seviyesine gerilemesi ve ana e\u011filimde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleriyle bu ay 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz indirimine gitmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tPara piyasalar\u0131nda 18 Aral\u0131k’ta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak BoE’nin para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131nda temel politika faizinin y\u00fczde 3,75 seviyesine \u00e7ekilmesi y\u00fczde 93 ihtimalle fiyatlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n


\n\tBoE, en son faiz indirimine 25 baz puanla a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda gitmi\u015fti. B\u00f6ylece banka aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar toplamda 75 baz puan indirime gitmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n


\n\tBankan\u0131n bu ay da indirime gitmesiyle y\u0131l\u0131 toplamda 100 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimiyle tamamlamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tBoJ’a y\u00f6nelik beklentiler belirsizli\u011fini koruyor<\/h2>\n


\n\tJaponya’da BoJ’un 12 Aral\u0131k’ta yapaca\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131da politika faizini art\u0131rma ihtimali y\u00fckselirken, bankan\u0131n faizi sabit tutmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiler de varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor. Para piyasalar\u0131nda BoJ’un politika faizinde 25 baz puan art\u0131r\u0131ma gitmesi y\u00fczde 57 ihtimalle fiyatlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n


\n\tBoJ, ekim ay\u0131ndaki son para politikas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini y\u00fczde 0,5’te sabit tutmu\u015ftu. Al\u0131nan son karar 7’ye kar\u015f\u0131 2 oyla al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f, BoJ \u00fcyeleri Naoki Tamura ve Hajime Takata al\u0131nan karara kat\u0131lmayarak faizin y\u00fczde 0,25 daha art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oy kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tPolitika metninde ekonominin tahminlerine uygun \u015fekilde \u015fekillenmesi halinde bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini art\u0131rmaya devam edece\u011fi taahh\u00fcd\u00fcn\u00fc yineleyen BoJ, tahminlerini de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyerek \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun 2025 mali<\/a> y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2,7, 2026 mali y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1,8 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tEkim ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin verilere g\u00f6re Japonya’da y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ulusal \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon y\u00fczde 3 seviyesine y\u00fckselerek, BoJ’un y\u0131lsonu beklentilerinin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n


\n\tAvustralya’n\u0131n faizi sabit tutmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor<\/h2>\n


\n\tOkyanusya taraf\u0131nda ise Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nemli merkez bankalar\u0131ndan olan ve b\u00f6lgedeki finansal likidite konusunda \u00f6nemli rol oynayan Avustralya’da RBA’n\u0131n politika faizini sabit tutmas\u0131na kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n


\n\tRBA, kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndaki son para politikas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyerek y\u00fczde 3,60’ta sabit b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tBankadan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, enflasyonun, 2022’deki zirvesinden bu yana \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ancak son zamanlarda enflasyonda bir h\u0131zlanman\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtilmi\u015fti<\/p>\n


\n\tYurt i\u00e7i ekonomik faaliyetin toparlanmaya devam etti\u011fi aktar\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn belirsizli\u011fi korudu\u011fu bildirilmi\u015fti<\/p>\n


\n\tYurt i\u00e7inde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar TCMB’nin faiz karar\u0131na odaklanacak<\/h2>\n


\n\tYurt i\u00e7i taraf\u0131ndaysa TCMB’nin para politikas\u0131 karar\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda bulunuyor. TCMB’nin y\u0131l\u0131n son para politikas\u0131 karar\u0131 11 Aral\u0131k’ta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n


\n\tEkim ay\u0131ndaki son politika karar\u0131nda TCMB politika faizini 100 baz puan indirerek y\u00fczde 39,50’ye \u00e7ekmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n


\n\tEkim ay\u0131ndaki politika metninde Kurulu ayr\u0131ca, Merkez Bankas\u0131 gecelik vadede bor\u00e7 verme faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 43,5\u2019ten y\u00fczde 42,5\u2019e, gecelik vadede bor\u00e7lanma faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 39\u2019dan y\u00fczde 38\u2019e indirdi\u011fi belirtmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n


\n\tEnflasyonun ana e\u011filimi eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi\u011fi ifade edilen para politikas\u0131 metninde “Son d\u00f6neme ait veriler talep ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n dezenflasyonist d\u00fczeyde oldu\u011funa ancak dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecinin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etmektedir” denilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n


\n\tAnalistler, bu ay a\u00e7\u0131klanacak faiz karar\u0131 ve politika metninden al\u0131nacak sinyallerin, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan takip edildi\u011fini belirterek, a\u00e7\u0131klanacak kas\u0131m ay\u0131 enflasyon verilerinin ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinin oda\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD taraf\u0131nda enflasyon ve istihdam alan\u0131ndaki risklerin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131 ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) gelecek d\u00f6nemde ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken, k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131 da Fed’in ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131 ve verece\u011fi mesajlar\u0131 yak\u0131ndan takip ediyor. Y\u0131l boyunca k\u00fcresel ekonomide ABD’nin tarife ad\u0131mlar\u0131 ticari gerilimleri art\u0131r\u0131rken, makroekonomik belirsizli\u011fi y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti. Merkez bankalar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son ay\u0131nda azalan tarife endi\u015feleri ve […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":43105,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51492","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel","category-gundem"],"yoast_head":"\nMerkez bankalar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131 yo\u011fun bir takvimle kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor - Milli Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=51492\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Merkez bankalar\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131 yo\u011fun bir takvimle kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor - Milli Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\" ABD taraf\u0131nda enflasyon ve istihdam alan\u0131ndaki risklerin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131 ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) gelecek d\u00f6nemde ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken, k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131 da Fed’in ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131 ve verece\u011fi mesajlar\u0131 yak\u0131ndan takip ediyor. 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