\n
\n\tAnketler, mevcut \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu’nun a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131lar ve Ultra Ortodoks Yahudilerden (Haredi) olu\u015fan koalisyonunun da eski Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Gadi Eisenkot \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki muhalefet kanad\u0131n\u0131n da 120 sandalyeli mecliste koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmak i\u00e7in gereken 61 milletvekiline ula\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tSe\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi hafta sonu yay\u0131mlanan son kamuoyu ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131na g\u00f6re, muhalefet bloku 54-56 sandalyeye ula\u015f\u0131rken Netanyahu liderli\u011findeki blo\u011fun yaln\u0131zca 50 sandalyede kald\u0131. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc bir blok olarak \u0130srail vatanda\u015f\u0131 Filistinlileri temsil eden iki listenin toplamda 14-16 milletvekiline ula\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\n\tBu tahminlerin sand\u0131\u011fa yans\u0131mas\u0131 durumunda, iki kanat \u00e7etin koalisyon pazarl\u0131klar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 bloktaki parti ya da partileri yan\u0131na \u00e7ekmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak. \u0130srail’deki kutupla\u015fma nedeniyle “Ya Netanyahu ya kar\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131” g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc veren se\u00e7imlerde, bloklar aras\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015fin zor olaca\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilirken pazarl\u0131klar\u0131n sonu\u00e7suz kalmas\u0131 durumunda ya\u015fanmas\u0131 muhtemel \u00fc\u00e7 senaryo \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\n\tSe\u00e7imin tekrarlanmas\u0131 ihtimali<\/h2>\n
\n\tSe\u00e7imlerde iki blok da anketlerin g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi gibi koalisyon i\u00e7in yeterli \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fa ula\u015famazsa ve kampanyalar\u0131nda vaat ettikleri rotay\u0131 izlerse, se\u00e7imlerin yenilenmesi en kuvvetli ihtimal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tBenzer siyasi kilitlenmeyi 2019-2022 aras\u0131nda ya\u015fayan ve 4 y\u0131lda 5 kez sand\u0131\u011fa gidilen \u0130srail’de, benzer manzaran\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kma ihtimalinin oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tSe\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan \u0130srail Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Isaac Herzog, siyasi partilerin liderleriyle isti\u015fare toplant\u0131lar\u0131 yapacak, ba\u015fbakan adaylar\u0131n\u0131 dinleyecek ve muhtemelen birinci \u00e7\u0131kan partinin liderine h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurma yetkisi verecek. Yetkiyi alan lider ek s\u00fcre ile birlikte 6 hafta i\u00e7erisinde h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kuramazsa, ikinci bir lidere 4 hafta s\u00fcre tan\u0131nacak, onun da ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 durumunda 3 hafta i\u00e7inde mecliste 61 milletvekilinin imzas\u0131yla bir koalisyon kurulmas\u0131 beklenecek. Yine h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurulamazsa, meclis feshedilecek ve 3 ay i\u00e7erisinde se\u00e7imler yenilenecek.<\/p>\n
\n\tBu senaryonun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde, yolsuzluk davalar\u0131 nedeniyle koltu\u011funu b\u0131rakmak istemedi\u011fi gerek\u00e7esiyle ele\u015ftirilen Netanyahu, “de facto” olarak g\u00f6revine devam edecek ve \u00fclkeyi 2027’nin ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda yeniden se\u00e7imlere g\u00f6t\u00fcrecek.<\/p>\n
\n\tBa\u015fbakanl\u0131k koltu\u011funda 5-6 ay kadar daha kalmas\u0131 beklenen Netanyahu’nun bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, yenilenen se\u00e7imlere daha sert politikalarla haz\u0131rlanaca\u011f\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgede tansiyonu daha da y\u00fckseltece\u011fi yorumlar\u0131 dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tEisenkot h\u00fck\u00fcmeti ihtimali<\/h2>\n
\n\tNetanyahu, “Muhalefet blo\u011funun Arap partileriyle koalisyon kuraca\u011f\u0131” iddias\u0131n\u0131 kampanyas\u0131n\u0131n merkezine yerle\u015ftirirken Likud Partisi, kampanya d\u00f6nemi boyunca “ya sa\u011f, ya Filistin” mottosunu kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
\n\tBuna kar\u015f\u0131 muhalif lider Eisenkot, Arap partileriyle birlikte hareket etmeyece\u011fi, h\u00fck\u00fcmeti d\u00f6neminde Filistin devletinin kurulmayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki s\u00f6ylemlerle\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b savunma pozisyonuna ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n
\n\tAyn\u0131 \u015fekilde, ba\u015fta eski Savunma Bakan\u0131 Avigdor Liberman olmak \u00fczere, muhalefet blo\u011fundaki baz\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 siyasiler, Filistinlilerle ayn\u0131 masaya oturmayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a belirtti.<\/p>\n
\n\t\u0130srail vatanda\u015f\u0131 Filistinlileri temsil eden partilerden Raam’\u0131n lideri Mansur Abbas, 2021’de oldu\u011fu gibi koalisyona kat\u0131lmaya a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011funu duyurdu. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n anketler Raam’\u0131n deste\u011finin yetmeyebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tHadash, Taal ve Balad\u2019dan olu\u015fan Ortak Liste “a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 h\u00fck\u00fcmeti devirmek i\u00e7in d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan destek verebileceklerini” ifade ederek kap\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n
\n\tBuna kar\u015f\u0131n, Eisenkot ve m\u00fcttefiklerinin se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesindeki tutumunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi halinde bu ihtimalin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi zor olsa da \u0130srail vatanda\u015f\u0131 Filistinlileri temsil eden partiler mecliste kilit konumda yer almay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/p>\n
\n\t“Ulusal Birlik H\u00fck\u00fcmeti”<\/h2>\n
\n\tNetanyahu’nun Temmuz 2026’da dile getirdi\u011fi iktidar ve muhalefetten partilerin yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 “ulusal birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmeti” iddias\u0131, son g\u00fcnlerde en fazla g\u00fcndeme gelen senaryo oldu.<\/p>\n
\n\t\u0130srail bas\u0131n\u0131, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Herzog’un da 2019-2020 y\u0131llar\u0131nda 11 ayda \u00fc\u00e7 se\u00e7imin ya\u015fanmas\u0131 gibi bir senaryo ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmamak i\u00e7in Netanyahu ve Eisenkot’un bir “ulusal birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmetine” \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etmesi gerekti\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesinde oldu\u011funu aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n
\n\t\u0130srail’in a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Bakan\u0131 Itamar Ben-Gvir de s\u0131k s\u0131k Netanyahu’nun kendisiyle g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc vermekten ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek Netanyahu’nun ulusal birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmeti aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda oldu\u011funu iddia ediyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tGerek Netanyahu gerek Eisenkot, se\u00e7im arifesinde, b\u00f6yle bir geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 h\u00fck\u00fcmeti ama\u00e7lamad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 savunsa da bu ihtimal d\u0131\u015flanm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\n\t\u0130srail bas\u0131n\u0131, Netanyahu ve Eisenkot’un liderlik edece\u011fi olas\u0131 bir h\u00fck\u00fcmette, \u0130srail i\u00e7in de bir y\u00fck olmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 savunulan, Filistinlilere y\u00f6nelik insan haklar\u0131 ihlallerine \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti\u011fi i\u00e7in uluslararas\u0131 kamuoyunun tepkisini \u00e7eken Ben-Gvir’in olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, di\u011fer bir a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 bakan Smotrich’in durumunun ise belirsiz oldu\u011funu de\u011ferlendiriyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tEisenkot’un daha \u00f6nce rotasyon s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde koltu\u011fu orta\u011f\u0131na b\u0131rakmay\u0131 reddederek siyasi kriz \u00e7\u0131karan Netanyahu’dan bu konuda g\u00fcvence isteyebilece\u011fi, 7 Ekim olaylar\u0131na ili\u015fkin devlet soru\u015fturmas\u0131 ve yarg\u0131 d\u00fczenlemelerinin durdurulmas\u0131n\u0131 talep edebilece\u011fi ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\n\t\u00d6zellikle ABD ve \u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 yeni sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, muhalefet cephesini b\u00f6yle bir koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti i\u00e7in masaya oturmaya zorlayabilece\u011fi ve ulusal birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmeti ihtimalini kuvvetlendirece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tFilistinlileri ne bekliyor?<\/h2>\n
\n\t\u0130srail’de yar\u0131n yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesinde iktidar ve muhalefet kanad\u0131ndaki siyasilerin s\u00f6ylemleri, Filistinliler konusunda \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmayaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tNetanyahu h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin devrilmesi ve muhalefetin bir koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmas\u0131 durumunda, Filistinlilere y\u00f6nelik bask\u0131n\u0131n bir nebze olsun hafifleme ihtimalinden s\u00f6z edilmesine ra\u011fmen bask\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 \u00fcslup ve ara\u00e7larla s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
\n\tTekrar a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 bir h\u00fck\u00fcmetin olu\u015fmas\u0131 durumunda ise sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ve bask\u0131lar\u0131n daha da artaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Anketler, mevcut \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu’nun a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131lar ve Ultra Ortodoks Yahudilerden (Haredi) olu\u015fan koalisyonunun da eski Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Gadi Eisenkot \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki muhalefet kanad\u0131n\u0131n da 120 sandalyeli mecliste koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmak i\u00e7in gereken 61 milletvekiline ula\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.
Se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi hafta sonu yay\u0131mlanan son kamuoyu ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131na g\u00f6re, muhalefet bloku 54-56 sandalyeye ula\u015f\u0131rken Netanyahu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":73459,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-73458","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel","category-gundem"],"yoast_head":"\n
\u0130srail'de anketler se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 muhtemel \u00fc\u00e7 senaryoya i\u015faret ediyor - Milli Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=73458\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u0130srail'de anketler se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 muhtemel \u00fc\u00e7 senaryoya i\u015faret ediyor - Milli Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"
Anketler, mevcut \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu’nun a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131lar ve Ultra Ortodoks Yahudilerden (Haredi) olu\u015fan koalisyonunun da eski Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Gadi Eisenkot \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki muhalefet kanad\u0131n\u0131n da 120 sandalyeli mecliste koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmak i\u00e7in gereken 61 milletvekiline ula\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.
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Anketler, mevcut \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu’nun a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131lar ve Ultra Ortodoks Yahudilerden (Haredi) olu\u015fan koalisyonunun da eski Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Gadi Eisenkot \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki muhalefet kanad\u0131n\u0131n da 120 sandalyeli mecliste koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmak i\u00e7in gereken 61 milletvekiline ula\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.
Se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi hafta sonu yay\u0131mlanan son kamuoyu ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131na g\u00f6re, muhalefet bloku 54-56 sandalyeye ula\u015f\u0131rken Netanyahu […]","og_url":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=73458","og_site_name":"Milli Haber","article_published_time":"2026-10-26T12:24:13+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/trthaberstatic.cdn.wp.trt.com.tr\/resimler\/1480000\/israil-secim-1481895.jpg","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"admins","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Yazan:":"admins","Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi":"5 dakika"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=73458#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=73458"},"author":{"name":"admins","@id":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/#\/schema\/person\/ce25ff78bd50c3fcd185fb298962da20"},"headline":"\u0130srail’de anketler se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 muhtemel \u00fc\u00e7 senaryoya i\u015faret ediyor","datePublished":"2026-10-26T12:24:13+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=73458"},"wordCount":1022,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=73458#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/israil-secim-1481895-740x420.jpg","articleSection":{"1":"G\u00fcndem"},"inLanguage":"tr","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=73458#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=73458","url":"https:\/\/millihaber.com.tr\/?p=73458","name":"\u0130srail'de anketler se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 muhtemel \u00fc\u00e7 senaryoya i\u015faret ediyor - 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